RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
HAVU Gamingloss 0:2series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 0:2
JustBetterwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
JustBetter
Crystal Maiden
SsaSpartan · 3 games
Doomoften banned
SkyLark · 3 games
Medusaoften banned
Focus · 3 games
Hoodwink
Astral · 2 games
Lunaoften banned
Focus · 2 games
Techies
Astral · 2 games
Undying
SsaSpartan · 2 games
Vengeful Spirit
SsaSpartan · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
381 picks · 352 bans
Vengeful Spirit
339 picks · 334 bans
Centaur Warrunner
320 picks · 526 bans
Mars
315 picks · 467 bans
Techies
306 picks · 236 bans
Batrider
294 picks · 556 bans
Hoodwink
294 picks · 175 bans
Tiny
281 picks · 246 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)20% vs 38%
Hero pool strength56% HAVU Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% JustBetter
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct3:29
HAVU Gaming 27%JustBetter 73%
The model gave 73% on JustBetter — the game was taken by JustBetter in 16:55.
Game 2prediction correct18:51
HAVU Gaming 27%JustBetter 73%
The model gave 73% on JustBetter — the game was taken by JustBetter in 32:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteJustBetter · 73%
Series resultJustBetter 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2