RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
HAVU Gamingloss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Montewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Monte
Vengeful Spirit
EcNart · 6 games
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 5 games
Hoodwink
QBFY · 5 games
Linaoften banned
Moonlight · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Infernal · 5 games
Enigmaoften banned
Infernal · 4 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
EcNart · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
383 picks · 349 bans
Vengeful Spirit
337 picks · 326 bans
Centaur Warrunner
326 picks · 511 bans
Mars
310 picks · 442 bans
Techies
296 picks · 221 bans
Hoodwink
286 picks · 162 bans
Pangolier
282 picks · 422 bans
Batrider
278 picks · 519 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% HAVU Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Monte
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:42
HAVU Gaming 39%Monte 61%
The model gave 61% on Monte — the game was taken by Monte in 46:28.
Game 2prediction correct13:38
HAVU Gaming 39%Monte 61%
The model gave 61% on Monte — the game was taken by Monte in 33:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteMonte · 61%
Series resultMonte 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2