Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
HAVU Gamingloss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
sQreen's Squadwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HAVU Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
sQreen's Squad
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
693 picks · 599 bans
Disruptor
555 picks · 488 bans
Beastmaster
450 picks · 1095 bans
Doom
444 picks · 791 bans
Ember Spirit
403 picks · 1031 bans
Mirana
381 picks · 205 bans
Pangolier
381 picks · 831 bans
Enchantress
376 picks · 545 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% HAVU Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% sQreen's Squad
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:48
HAVU Gaming 49%sQreen's Squad 51%
The model gave 51% on sQreen's Squad — the game was taken by sQreen's Squad in 1:05:46.
Game 2prediction correct37:43
HAVU Gaming 49%sQreen's Squad 51%
The model gave 51% on sQreen's Squad — the game was taken by sQreen's Squad in 45:29.
Model check result
Model favoritesQreen's Squad · 51%
Series resultsQreen's Squad 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2