RES Regional Series: EU #4 · BO2
result vs prediction
HAVU Gamingloss 1:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
TT Teamloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HAVU Gaming
Dragon Knightoften banned
MTD · 1 game
Windrangeroften banned
MTD · 1 game
TT Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
382 picks · 363 bans
Hoodwink
371 picks · 409 bans
Pangolier
345 picks · 534 bans
Jakiro
343 picks · 257 bans
Sven
296 picks · 308 bans
Phoenix
295 picks · 516 bans
Ember Spirit
287 picks · 601 bans
Weaver
287 picks · 647 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength57% TT Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% TT Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed43:24
HAVU Gaming 48%TT Team 52%
The model gave 52% on TT Team — the game was taken by HAVU Gaming in 34:24.
Game 2prediction correct25:38
HAVU Gaming 48%TT Team 52%
The model gave 52% on TT Team — the game was taken by TT Team in 36:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteTT Team · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2