Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaiserswin 2:0series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
AS Monaco Gambit
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
359 picks · 523 bans
Snapfire
318 picks · 187 bans
Bane
309 picks · 247 bans
Weaver
298 picks · 670 bans
Monkey King
260 picks · 747 bans
Tidehunter
248 picks · 399 bans
Ember Spirit
230 picks · 312 bans
Disruptor
228 picks · 149 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 43%
Hero pool strength50% HellRaisers
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total85% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:25
HellRaisers 85%AS Monaco Gambit 15%
The model gave 85% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by AS Monaco Gambit in 41:58.
Game 2prediction missed23:26
HellRaisers 85%AS Monaco Gambit 15%
The model gave 85% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by AS Monaco Gambit in 41:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 85%
Series resultHellRaisers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2