Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaisersloss 0:2series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
BETBOOM TEAM
Clockwerk
Bignum · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Bb3px · 5 games
Marcioften banned
Bignum · 4 games
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
Enchantressoften banned
Bignum · 3 games
Linaoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
Snapfire
CeMaTheSlayeR · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
362 picks · 347 bans
Tusk
349 picks · 337 bans
Mirana
248 picks · 246 bans
Crystal Maiden
228 picks · 147 bans
Rubick
228 picks · 186 bans
Pangolier
208 picks · 549 bans
Leshrac
204 picks · 424 bans
Snapfire
202 picks · 112 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 20%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:36
HellRaisers 35%BETBOOM TEAM 65%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:17.
Game 2prediction correct55:17
HellRaisers 35%BETBOOM TEAM 65%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 55:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 65%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2