The Lima Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
HellRaiserswin 2:0series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
BETBOOM TEAM
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 14 games
Rubick
Save- · 11 games
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 8 games
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 8 games
Tinysignature
Save- · 7 games
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 6 games
Linasignature
Pure~ · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
718 picks · 451 bans
Tusk
601 picks · 549 bans
Tiny
565 picks · 451 bans
Treant Protector
507 picks · 561 bans
Mirana
392 picks · 386 bans
Snapfire
392 picks · 224 bans
Nature's Prophet
367 picks · 534 bans
Death Prophet
363 picks · 566 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength58% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total77% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:14
HellRaisers 23%BETBOOM TEAM 77%
The model gave 77% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:36.
Game 2prediction correct8:20
HellRaisers 23%BETBOOM TEAM 77%
The model gave 77% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 77%
Series resultHellRaisers 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2