Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaiserswin 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Mind Gamesloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Mind Games
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
529 picks · 368 bans
Mars
460 picks · 651 bans
Queen of Pain
421 picks · 513 bans
Weaver
411 picks · 854 bans
Snapfire
360 picks · 185 bans
Kunkka
325 picks · 530 bans
Spirit Breaker
323 picks · 508 bans
Disruptor
267 picks · 179 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 59%
Hero pool strength50% HellRaisers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:25
HellRaisers 57%Mind Games 43%
The model gave 57% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Mind Games in 55:24.
Game 2prediction missed10:24
HellRaisers 57%Mind Games 43%
The model gave 57% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Mind Games in 29:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 57%
Series resultHellRaisers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2