BetBoom Xmas Show · BO3
result vs prediction
HellRaisersloss 0:2series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HellRaisers
No games played over 6 months.
Nemiga Gaming
Pucksignature
Malr1ne · 8 games
Lifestealersignature
Kiritych · 7 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Hellscream · 7 games
Pangoliersignature
Corrupted · 7 games
Phoenix
Hellscream · 7 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Kiritych · 5 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Corrupted · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
so bad · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
359 picks · 336 bans
Tusk
311 picks · 291 bans
Marci
274 picks · 516 bans
Undying
252 picks · 463 bans
Pangolier
245 picks · 551 bans
Primal Beast
232 picks · 593 bans
Shadow Fiend
221 picks · 339 bans
Snapfire
213 picks · 114 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)78% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total60% HellRaisers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:7
HellRaisers 60%Nemiga Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 28:03.
Game 2prediction missed27:43
HellRaisers 60%Nemiga Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on HellRaisers — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 56:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteHellRaisers · 60%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2