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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
1w Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 27 games
41%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 25 games
68%
Puck
Puckoften banned
4nalog · 21 game
52%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Wisper · 20 games
55%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 19 games
42%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Wisper · 18 games
50%
Axe
Axe
Davai · 17 games
41%
Bane
Bane
KJ · 17 games
41%

1w Team

Puck
Pucksignature
Squad1x · 32 games
63%
Warlock
Warlock
kasane · 30 games
57%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Squad1x · 29 games
76%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Squad1x · 29 games
59%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
swedenstrong · 23 games
57%
Tiny
Tinysignature
swedenstrong · 21 game
76%
Disruptor
Disruptor
kasane · 20 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
kasane · 20 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 360 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
614 picks · 305 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
592 picks · 517 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
582 picks · 724 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
556 picks · 550 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
546 picks · 331 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
511 picks · 763 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
507 picks · 582 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 58%
Hero pool strength57% 1w Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:53
Heroic 53%1w Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 1:12:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeYuma
49% · 368 games54% · 408 games
PuckSquad1x
Puck
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDavai
49% · 317 games47% · 455 games
Dragon KnightMunkushi~
Dragon Knight
Pudge
PudgeWisper
52% · 112 games46% · 127 games
UnderlordSSS
Underlord
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonKJ
49% · 267 games47% · 319 games
Hoodwinkswedenstrong
Hoodwink
Tusk
TuskScofield
46% · 457 games60% · 212 games
Naga SirenRein
Naga Siren
Game 2prediction correct34:26
Heroic 53%1w Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 1:00:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoYuma
60% · 28 games49% · 113 games
UrsaMunkushi~
Ursa
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDavai
53% · 255 games47% · 95 games
LycanSSS
Lycan
Invoker
InvokerWisper
45% · 132 games41% · 160 games
Queen of PainSquad1x
Queen of Pain
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinScofield
59% · 64 games42% · 143 games
Hoodwinkswedenstrong
Hoodwink
Dazzle
DazzleKJ
55% · 123 games56% · 91 game
Naga SirenRein
Naga Siren
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 57%
Series resultHeroic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2