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ESL One Raleigh 2025 · BO2
result vs prediction
Heroicloss 0:2
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Muerta
Muerta
Scofield · 27 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 24 games
67%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Wisper · 24 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
4nalog · 22 games
55%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
KJ · 21 game
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Davai · 19 games
53%
Lion
Lion
Scofield · 19 games
53%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 17 games
76%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 42 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 31 game
68%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
62%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 25 games
68%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 23 games
74%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 21 game
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
570 picks · 809 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
449 picks · 304 bans
52%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
433 picks · 805 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
428 picks · 662 bans
51%
Bristleback
Bristleback
407 picks · 868 bans
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
390 picks · 369 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
388 picks · 1042 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
382 picks · 523 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total87% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:20
Heroic 26%BETBOOM TEAM 74%
The model gave 74% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 24:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenYuma
47% · 189 games48% · 241 game
Monkey KingPure~
Monkey King
Sniper
Sniper4nalog
50% · 164 games47% · 371 game
Dragon KnightgpK~
Dragon Knight
Magnus
MagnusWisper
55% · 256 games58% · 240 games
BristlebackMieRo
Bristleback
Tinker
TinkerKJ
53% · 86 games39% · 21 game
RingmasterSave-
Ringmaster
Clockwerk
ClockwerkMatthew
45% · 404 games49% · 226 games
JakiroKataomi
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct13:35
Heroic 27%BETBOOM TEAM 73%
The model gave 73% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackWisper
54% · 128 games46% · 133 games
UrsaPure~
Ursa
Outworld Destroyer
Outworld Destroyer4nalog
47% · 11 games50% · 272 games
TimbersawMieRo
Timbersaw
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYuma
47% · 235 games45% · 103 games
KunkkagpK~
Kunkka
Jakiro
JakiroMatthew
51% · 150 games51% · 76 games
RingmasterSave-
Ringmaster
Tusk
TuskKJ
54% · 152 games53% · 92 games
SilencerKataomi
Silencer
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 87%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2