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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 1:0
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Execrationloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 27 games
48%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 25 games
68%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 24 games
63%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 22 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 22 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
4nalog · 19 games
58%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 19 games
63%
Puck
Puckoften banned
4nalog · 19 games
58%

Execration

Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Shanks · 27 games
63%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Tino- · 22 games
50%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Shanks · 18 games
61%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
cml · 17 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Palos · 16 games
63%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Palos · 16 games
44%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Bob · 14 games
57%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Tino- · 13 games
46%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 355 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
584 picks · 590 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
567 picks · 299 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 545 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
471 picks · 290 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
467 picks · 273 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
454 picks · 741 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
435 picks · 1119 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Heroic
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:20
Heroic 61%Execration 39%
The model gave 61% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 44:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightYuma
48% · 336 games50% · 399 games
GyrocopterPalos
Gyrocopter
Puck
PuckWisper
48% · 334 games46% · 165 games
SlardarBob
Slardar
Timbersaw
TimbersawDavai
47% · 217 games49% · 172 games
Primal BeastTino-
Primal Beast
Chen
ChenKJ
52% · 196 games50% · 408 games
BatriderShanks
Batrider
Clockwerk
ClockwerkScofield
52% · 227 games57% · 166 games
Banecml
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 70%
Series resultHeroic 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1