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PGL Wallachia 2024 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:0
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Scofield · 26 games
58%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 21 game
62%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Scofield · 16 games
63%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
KJ · 14 games
50%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
K1 · 12 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
KJ · 12 games
67%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Scofield · 12 games
75%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
K1 · 11 games
82%

Infinity Esports

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Kiri · 8 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Gardick · 7 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Panda · 7 games
57%
Techies
Techies
Hyko · 7 games
43%
Marci
Marcisignature
Yor · 6 games
67%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 6 games
33%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Costabile · 5 games
80%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
348 picks · 296 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
335 picks · 437 bans
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
329 picks · 253 bans
45%
Enchantress
Enchantress
319 picks · 541 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
298 picks · 283 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
295 picks · 412 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
294 picks · 797 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
293 picks · 472 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 53%
Hero pool strength53% Heroic
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total68% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct48:23
Heroic 61%Infinity Esports 39%
The model gave 61% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 42:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaParker
62% · 53 games46% · 83 games
BristlebackCostabile
Bristleback
Puck
Puck4nalog
54% · 81 game46% · 140 games
InvokerPiPi
Invoker
Primal Beast
Primal BeastDavai
48% · 95 games41% · 43 games
AxeILICH-
Axe
Snapfire
SnapfireScofield
50% · 64 games56% · 78 games
DisruptorPanda
Disruptor
Naga Siren
Naga SirenKJ
48% · 51 game
Game 2prediction correct24:9
Heroic 58%Infinity Esports 42%
The model gave 58% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 27:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaParker
51% · 43 games52% · 84 games
AlchemistCostabile
Alchemist
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain4nalog
44% · 27 games48% · 82 games
BristlebackILICH-
Bristleback
Primal Beast
Primal BeastDavai
49% · 122 games49% · 104 games
LeshracPiPi
Leshrac
Dark Willow
Dark WillowScofield
45% · 99 games55% · 67 games
DisruptorPanda
Disruptor
Omniknight
OmniknightKJ
57% · 46 games
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 68%
Series resultHeroic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2