BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 1:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Mad Kingsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Heroic
No games played over 6 months.
Mad Kings
Grimstrokesignature
Gardick · 13 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
payk · 9 games
Brewmastersignature
Vitaly · 8 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Gardick · 8 games
Underlordsignature
Oscar · 8 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Vitaly · 7 games
Invokersignature
Genek · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
253 picks · 430 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
221 picks · 353 bans
Centaur Warrunner
208 picks · 279 bans
Dark Willow
206 picks · 98 bans
Tusk
206 picks · 192 bans
Treant Protector
188 picks · 359 bans
Kunkka
180 picks · 508 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 62%
Hero pool strength55% Mad Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% Mad Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Heroic 40%Mad Kings 60%
The model gave 60% on Mad Kings — the game was taken by Heroic.
Model check result
Model favoriteMad Kings · 60%
Series resultHeroic 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1