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BLAST Slam VI · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:0
series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
REKONIXloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
KJ · 30 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 30 games
43%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 23 games
70%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Wisper · 21 game
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
KJ · 21 game
76%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 20 games
60%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Yuma · 20 games
55%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 18 games
50%

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 23 games
65%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 12 games
83%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 12 games
42%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
inYourdreaM · 11 games
45%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 11 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 10 games
30%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
80%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
612 picks · 943 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
535 picks · 437 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
487 picks · 641 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 634 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
441 picks · 960 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 658 bans
58%
Mars
Mars
395 picks · 540 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
390 picks · 243 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 46%
Hero pool strength51% REKONIX
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total75% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:27
Heroic 64%REKONIX 36%
The model gave 64% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 1:03:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pudge
PudgeWisper
47% · 65 games55% · 192 games
Shadow FiendTraVins
Shadow Fiend
Beastmaster
BeastmasterTaiLung
47% · 209 games50% · 156 games
UnderlordFbz
Underlord
Windranger
WindrangerYuma
51% · 159 games48% · 160 games
Void SpiritinYourdreaM
Void Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkThiolicor
52% · 192 games57% · 277 games
Batriderdalul
Batrider
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKJ
44% · 234 games46% · 74 games
Crystal MaidenVarizh
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct41:27
Heroic 66%REKONIX 34%
The model gave 66% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 52:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pudge
PudgeWisper
50% · 89 games48% · 162 games
Shadow FiendinYourdreaM
Shadow Fiend
Clinkz
ClinkzYuma
62% · 135 games38% · 147 games
WindrangerTraVins
Windranger
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritTaiLung
55% · 564 games43% · 226 games
BeastmasterFbz
Beastmaster
Enigma
EnigmaKJ
62% · 141 game44% · 354 games
Tinydalul
Tiny
Hoodwink
HoodwinkThiolicor
54% · 307 games43% · 347 games
JakiroVarizh
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 75%
Series resultHeroic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2