BLAST Slam VI · BO1
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 1:0series probability
22%78%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Spiritloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Heroic
Tusk
Scofield · 30 games
Jakirooften banned
KJ · 27 games
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 23 games
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 20 games
Marsoften banned
Wisper · 20 games
Leshracsignature
Wisper · 18 games
Shadow Demonsignature
KJ · 18 games
Ursaoften banned
Yuma · 18 games
Team Spirit
Tusksignature
rue · 26 games
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 20 games
Jakirosignature
Panto · 20 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 19 games
Ringmastersignature
rue · 19 games
Marsoften banned
Collapse · 18 games
Slardarsignature
Collapse · 17 games
Disruptorsignature
Panto · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
600 picks · 938 bans
Tusk
540 picks · 428 bans
Centaur Warrunner
491 picks · 643 bans
Dragon Knight
486 picks · 653 bans
Shadow Demon
439 picks · 948 bans
Ember Spirit
393 picks · 654 bans
Mars
389 picks · 528 bans
Warlock
379 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 64%
Hero pool strength53% Team Spirit
Head-to-head0 – 5
Model total78% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:18
Heroic 34%Team Spirit 66%
The model gave 66% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Heroic in 44:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AbaddonYuma
WeaverYatoro
PuckTaiLung
Ember SpiritMirele
SlardarWisper
BatriderCollapse
Shadow DemonKJ
HoodwinkPanto
JakiroThiolicor
Rikirue
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 78%
Series resultHeroic 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1