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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 1:0
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tearlamentsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 27 games
70%
Tusk
Tusk
Scofield · 27 games
48%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 24 games
63%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 22 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 22 games
55%
Puck
Pucksignature
4nalog · 20 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
4nalog · 19 games
58%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 19 games
63%

Tearlaments

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 17 games
76%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 14 games
71%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Srf · 13 games
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 12 games
42%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Echo · 11 games
64%
Snapfire
Snapfire
7e · 11 games
55%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
67%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Srf · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 357 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 585 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
568 picks · 300 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
478 picks · 299 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
477 picks · 555 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
469 picks · 270 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
458 picks · 747 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
435 picks · 1116 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Tearlaments
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:12
Heroic 72%Tearlaments 28%
The model gave 72% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 25:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezYuma
40% · 20 games54% · 126 games
Ursapoyoyo
Ursa
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerWisper
56% · 299 games52% · 265 games
PangolierSrf
Pangolier
Primal Beast
Primal BeastDavai
51% · 197 games47% · 120 games
Sand King7e
Sand King
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageScofield
51% · 75 games48% · 149 games
Warlockzzq
Warlock
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonKJ
49% · 238 games42% · 169 games
HoodwinkTK
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 87%
Series resultHeroic 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1