BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 1:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Heroic
Tusk
Scofield · 27 games
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 26 games
Enigmasignature
Wisper · 24 games
Abaddonoften banned
Yuma · 22 games
Shadow Shaman
Scofield · 22 games
Pucksignature
4nalog · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
4nalog · 19 games
Dark Seersignature
Wisper · 19 games
Yakult Brothers
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 32 games
Puckoften banned
Emo · 21 game
Disruptorsignature
Poloson · 20 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
flyfly · 16 games
Bane
Oli · 15 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Emo · 15 games
Anti-Magesignature
flyfly · 13 games
Jakiro
Poloson · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
778 picks · 356 bans
Disruptor
583 picks · 589 bans
Hoodwink
569 picks · 299 bans
Dragon Knight
474 picks · 547 bans
Jakiro
473 picks · 292 bans
Tusk
467 picks · 273 bans
Mars
455 picks · 743 bans
Puck
436 picks · 1117 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 43%
Hero pool strength56% Heroic
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total74% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct61:25
Heroic 62%Yakult Brothers 38%
The model gave 62% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 58:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MarciYuma
Ursaflyfly
AxeDavai
Storm SpiritEmo
LeshracWisper
Night Stalkerzeal
Skywrath MageScofield
TechiesBoBoKa
Shadow DemonKJ
Jakiro天命
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 74%
Series resultHeroic 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1