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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
HFwin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eatersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HF

Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 16 games
63%
Mirana
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 14 games
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
hAze · 13 games
62%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 12 games
58%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 12 games
50%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Kaori · 11 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 10 games
60%
Io
Iosignature
Kaori · 10 games
80%

Rune Eaters

Mars
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
TA2000 · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 5 games
40%
Mirana
Mirana
ArrOw · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
25%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
577 picks · 463 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
431 picks · 663 bans
47%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
405 picks · 528 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
388 picks · 854 bans
56%
Bane
Bane
384 picks · 261 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 632 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
335 picks · 163 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
330 picks · 553 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 46%
Hero pool strength56% HF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% HF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
HF 59%Rune Eaters 41%
The model gave 59% on HF — the game was taken by HF.
Game 2prediction correct
HF 59%Rune Eaters 41%
The model gave 59% on HF — the game was taken by HF.
Model check result
Model favoriteHF · 59%
Series resultHF 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2