FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2 — Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionHMhigh mentalityloss 0:1
series probability
10%90%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Yellow Submarinewin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
high mentality
No games played over 6 months.
Yellow Submarine
Shadow Shaman
mrls · 22 games
Tusk
mrls · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 18 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 17 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Mirele · 16 games
Muertasignature
bottega · 16 games
Ringmaster
Xakoda · 16 games
Tiny
bottega · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
298 picks · 192 bans
Puck
289 picks · 667 bans
Dark Willow
260 picks · 107 bans
Tusk
256 picks · 254 bans
Dawnbreaker
252 picks · 621 bans
Nature's Prophet
250 picks · 520 bans
Marci
244 picks · 532 bans
Batrider
240 picks · 676 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
high mentality 10%Yellow Submarine 90%
The model gave 90% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine.
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 90%
Series resultYellow Submarine 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1