The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Hive-win 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
BBoomBoysloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hive-
Ringmaster
slimeyao · 6 games
Rubick
slimeyao · 6 games
Hoodwink
slimeyao · 5 games
Tiny
byun · 5 games
Enchantressoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 4 games
Phoenixoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 4 games
Chenoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 3 games
Kezoften banned
byun · 3 games
BoomBoys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 409 bans
Rubick
530 picks · 297 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
428 picks · 613 bans
Puck
347 picks · 986 bans
Tusk
343 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 517 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% BoomBoys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% BoomBoys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Hive- 48%BoomBoys 52%
The model gave 52% on BoomBoys — the game was taken by Hive-.
Model check result
Model favoriteBoomBoys · 52%
Series resultHive- 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1