BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:1
4 Zoomersloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
4 Zoomers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
551 picks · 371 bans
Queen of Pain
482 picks · 579 bans
Mars
450 picks · 607 bans
Weaver
425 picks · 779 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 176 bans
Kunkka
348 picks · 549 bans
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 578 bans
Wraith King
290 picks · 349 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 3
Model total56% 4 Zoomers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:28
Hokori 44%4 Zoomers 56%
The model gave 56% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 37:40.
Game 2prediction correct29:9
Hokori 44%4 Zoomers 56%
The model gave 56% on 4 Zoomers — the game was taken by 4 Zoomers in 34:16.
Model check result
Model favorite4 Zoomers · 56%
Accuracy by game2 of 2