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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NoPing VPNloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hokori

No games played over 6 months.

NoPing VPN

Mars
Marssignature
Oscar · 18 games
72%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Lumière · 14 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 14 games
93%
Bane
Banesignature
Accel · 12 games
75%
Io
Iooften banned
KJ · 12 games
50%
Lion
Lionsignature
Michael · 12 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Michael · 11 games
45%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Michael · 11 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
495 picks · 354 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
445 picks · 649 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
383 picks · 478 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
383 picks · 831 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
370 picks · 193 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
299 picks · 503 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
287 picks · 453 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
263 picks · 353 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 36%
Hero pool strength59% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head1 – 5
Model total58% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:30
Hokori 58%NoPing VPN 42%
The model gave 58% on Hokori — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 42:53.
Game 2prediction missed11:31
Hokori 58%NoPing VPN 42%
The model gave 58% on Hokori — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 40:09.
Game 3prediction missed16:38
Hokori 58%NoPing VPN 42%
The model gave 58% on Hokori — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 35:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 58%
Series resultHokori 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3