BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OOsmiumloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Osmium
Bane
Mjz · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
drakeel · 1 game
Juggernaut
Mnz · 1 game
Phoenix
sl4d1n- · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
drakeel · 1 game
Skywrath Mage
sl4d1n- · 1 game
Terrorbladeoften banned
Mnz · 1 game
Undyingoften banned
Mjz · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
456 picks · 282 bans
Mars
441 picks · 603 bans
Tiny
407 picks · 472 bans
Sand King
365 picks · 484 bans
Death Prophet
357 picks · 769 bans
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 510 bans
Storm Spirit
316 picks · 476 bans
Pangolier
309 picks · 456 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 38%
Hero pool strength55% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:11
Hokori 56%Osmium 44%
The model gave 56% on Hokori — the game was taken by Osmium in 29:12.
Game 2prediction missed22:32
Hokori 56%Osmium 44%
The model gave 56% on Hokori — the game was taken by Osmium in 37:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 56%
Accuracy by game0 of 2