Hokori vs Perrito Panzon — prediction EWCD2ОК 2026 · Dota 2

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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3

result vs prediction

Hokoriwin 2:1

series probability

51%49%

probability at match start · final 2:1

PPPerrito Panzonloss 1:2

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hokori

Clockwerkoften banned

Gardick · 4 games

Hoodwink

Genek · 4 games

50%

Queen of Painoften banned

Lumière · 3 games

33%

Tidehunteroften banned

Vitaly · 3 games

33%

Beastmasteroften banned

Costabile · 2 games

100%

Crystal Maiden

Gardick · 2 games

100%

Death Prophet

Vitaly · 2 games

50%

Nature's Prophet

Lumière · 2 games

50%

Perrito Panzon

No games played over 6 months.

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Hoodwink

570 picks · 353 bans

54%

Phoenix

482 picks · 572 bans

50%

Rubick

463 picks · 243 bans

49%

Tiny

437 picks · 377 bans

50%

Pangolier

388 picks · 541 bans

48%

Puck

332 picks · 881 bans

52%

Beastmaster

322 picks · 813 bans

47%

Tusk

312 picks · 267 bans

53%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%

Hero pool strength51% Perrito Panzon

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total51% Hokori

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction missed21:31

Hokori 51%Perrito Panzon 49%

The model gave 51% on Hokori — the game was taken by Perrito Panzon in 45:53.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo