FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriwin 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PEPukllay Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
Muerta
Genek · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 4 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Gardick · 4 games
Medusaoften banned
Lumière · 4 games
Batrideroften banned
Genek · 3 games
Lion
Genek · 3 games
Pugnaoften banned
Gardick · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Vitaly · 3 games
Pukllay Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
481 picks · 659 bans
Clockwerk
439 picks · 511 bans
Pangolier
378 picks · 554 bans
Dark Willow
366 picks · 189 bans
Batrider
340 picks · 373 bans
Luna
323 picks · 429 bans
Muerta
319 picks · 242 bans
Invoker
316 picks · 880 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Pukllay Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:13
Hokori 79%Pukllay Esports 21%
The model gave 79% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 25:41.
Game 2prediction correct31:11
Hokori 79%Pukllay Esports 21%
The model gave 79% on Hokori — the game was taken by Hokori in 28:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 79%
Series resultHokori 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2