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BTS Pro Series Season 11. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 0:2
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team DogChampwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hokori

No games played over 6 months.

Team DogChamp

Mars
Marsoften banned
lukiluki · 13 games
31%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 12 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 12 games
33%
Bane
Bane
Bloody Nine · 11 games
55%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
StoneBank · 10 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
yarintheslayer · 8 games
50%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
StoneBank · 7 games
57%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
yarintheslayer · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
467 picks · 642 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
464 picks · 495 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
442 picks · 267 bans
56%
Sand King
Sand King
423 picks · 554 bans
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
360 picks · 606 bans
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
359 picks · 420 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
352 picks · 536 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
348 picks · 810 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 30%
Hero pool strength53% Hokori
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 70%
Series resultTeam DogChamp 0:2
Series predictionmissed