BTS Pro Series Season 6. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:1
The Cutloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
The Cut
Void Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 9 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 4 games
Timbersawoften banned
TingleK1ng · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lil_Nick · 3 games
Iooften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Medusaoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 3 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
TingleK1ng · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
381 picks · 971 bans
Lion
370 picks · 199 bans
Mars
364 picks · 586 bans
Grimstroke
341 picks · 361 bans
Snapfire
294 picks · 172 bans
Tusk
287 picks · 222 bans
Death Prophet
285 picks · 630 bans
Void Spirit
275 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 23%
Hero pool strength50% Hokori
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:20
Hokori 62%The Cut 38%
The model gave 62% on Hokori — the game was taken by The Cut in 34:29.
Game 2prediction missed48:57
Hokori 62%The Cut 38%
The model gave 62% on Hokori — the game was taken by The Cut in 1:04:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 62%
Accuracy by game0 of 2