BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Wildcard Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
Wildcard Gaming
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 4 games
Rubick
The Warden · 4 games
Weaveroften banned
The Warden · 4 games
Gyrocopter
DaaD- · 3 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
544 picks · 368 bans
Queen of Pain
477 picks · 569 bans
Mars
445 picks · 598 bans
Weaver
424 picks · 777 bans
Snapfire
362 picks · 171 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 571 bans
Kunkka
341 picks · 540 bans
Wraith King
285 picks · 344 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength56% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Hokori
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:12
Hokori 51%Wildcard Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Hokori — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 28:35.
Game 2prediction missed33:10
Hokori 51%Wildcard Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Hokori — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 30:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteHokori · 51%
Accuracy by game0 of 2