BTS Pro Series Season 9. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Hokoriloss 1:1series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:1
XXxXxXXxloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hokori
No games played over 6 months.
XxXxXXx
Ogre Magi
Mjz · 2 games
Snapfire
MoOz · 2 games
Disruptor
Mjz · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mjz · 1 game
Iooften banned
MoOz · 1 game
Juggernautoften banned
Mnz · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Leostyle · 1 game
Lunaoften banned
Mnz · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
262 picks · 342 bans
Lion
255 picks · 145 bans
Tidehunter
249 picks · 391 bans
Lina
241 picks · 507 bans
Monkey King
228 picks · 500 bans
Pangolier
225 picks · 314 bans
Tiny
218 picks · 292 bans
Void Spirit
214 picks · 253 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 43%
Hero pool strength53% XxXxXXx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% XxXxXXx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:26
Hokori 44%XxXxXXx 56%
The model gave 56% on XxXxXXx — the game was taken by XxXxXXx in 36:56.
Game 2prediction correct36:16
Hokori 44%XxXxXXx 56%
The model gave 56% on XxXxXXx — the game was taken by XxXxXXx in 34:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteXxXxXXx · 56%
Accuracy by game2 of 2