PGL Wallachia Season 6. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionHSHong shi zhang zuiwin 2:0
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hong shi zhang zui
Snapfiresignature
TK · 10 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
BEYOND · 7 games
Hoodwinksignature
TK · 6 games
Disruptor
Undyne_ · 5 games
Lycanoften banned
BEYOND · 5 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
Undyne_ · 4 games
Bane
Undyne_ · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
BEYOND · 3 games
Surge Gaming
Enchantressoften banned
Hara · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Irving · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Irving · 3 games
Earthshakeroften banned
Night · 3 games
Silenceroften banned
Hara · 3 games
Svenoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Night · 2 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Night · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
353 picks · 324 bans
Puck
331 picks · 831 bans
Snapfire
304 picks · 154 bans
Pugna
289 picks · 325 bans
Dawnbreaker
281 picks · 776 bans
Tusk
277 picks · 246 bans
Warlock
270 picks · 124 bans
Shadow Shaman
265 picks · 171 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Hong shi zhang zui
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Hong shi zhang zui
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Hong shi zhang zui 85%Surge Gaming 15%
The model gave 85% on Hong shi zhang zui — the game was taken by Hong shi zhang zui.
Game 2prediction correct
Hong shi zhang zui 85%Surge Gaming 15%
The model gave 85% on Hong shi zhang zui — the game was taken by Hong shi zhang zui.
Model check result
Model favoriteHong shi zhang zui · 85%
Series resultHong shi zhang zui 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2