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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 2:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
4Piratesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hydra

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
ani-san · 7 games
57%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
selfhate · 7 games
43%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Ethereal · 7 games
29%
Underlord
Underlord
Actor · 7 games
29%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Ethereal · 5 games
60%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Actor · 5 games
20%
Snapfire
Snapfire
ani-san · 5 games
20%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Actor · 4 games
25%

4Pirates

Muerta
Muerta
ariel · 6 games
33%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
NattyNarwhal · 5 games
60%
Lion
Lion
ariel · 4 games
75%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
PERDAN4IK · 4 games
75%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
мистер мораль · 4 games
25%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Otaker · 4 games
75%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 4 games
75%
Underlord
Underlord
мистер мораль · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
490 picks · 673 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
415 picks · 489 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
359 picks · 529 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
348 picks · 181 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
340 picks · 451 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
305 picks · 593 bans
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
303 picks · 484 bans
53%
Alchemist
Alchemist
300 picks · 629 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 47%
Hero pool strength56% 4Pirates
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total67% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:31
Hydra 67%4Pirates 33%
The model gave 67% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 44:49.
Game 2prediction correct39:23
Hydra 67%4Pirates 33%
The model gave 67% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 42:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 67%
Series resultHydra 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2