Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 2:0series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
B8 Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Banesignature
Zayac · 29 games
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 29 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 24 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 24 games
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 24 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 18 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 16 games
B8 Esports
Void Spiritoften banned
Dendi · 27 games
Shadow Demonsignature
[T]SA · 24 games
Linasignature
[T]SA · 23 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Watson · 21 game
Queen of Painoften banned
Dendi · 21 game
Bane
Sammyboy · 19 games
Lunaoften banned
Watson · 18 games
Snapfire
Alexxo · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
541 picks · 363 bans
Queen of Pain
476 picks · 576 bans
Mars
439 picks · 592 bans
Weaver
416 picks · 733 bans
Kunkka
349 picks · 539 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
Snapfire
335 picks · 168 bans
Wraith King
280 picks · 353 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 15%
Hero pool strength61% Hydra
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total90% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 90%
Series resultHydra 2:0
Series predictioncorrect