Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydraloss 1:2series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Entitywin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 22 games
Banesignature
Zayac · 21 game
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 19 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 19 games
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 18 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 17 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 15 games
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
511 picks · 364 bans
Mars
457 picks · 660 bans
Weaver
397 picks · 849 bans
Queen of Pain
396 picks · 496 bans
Snapfire
375 picks · 193 bans
Kunkka
309 picks · 516 bans
Spirit Breaker
300 picks · 474 bans
Ember Spirit
265 picks · 352 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 74%
Hero pool strength58% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total74% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:24
Hydra 26%Entity 74%
The model gave 74% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 28:53.
Game 2prediction missed35:15
Hydra 26%Entity 74%
The model gave 74% on Entity — the game was taken by Hydra in 28:03.
Game 3prediction correct18:26
Hydra 26%Entity 74%
The model gave 74% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 34:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 74%
Series resultEntity 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3