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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 12 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 2:0
series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ФЕРЗИloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hydra

Puck
Puckoften banned
Askold · 26 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Muka · 20 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Kami · 19 games
47%
Bane
Banesignature
Muka · 18 games
61%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Askold · 18 games
61%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 16 games
44%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Zayac · 16 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 15 games
60%

ФЕРЗИ

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
baraban · 2 games
0%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
0%
Lina
Linaoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 2 games
100%
Zeus
Zeus
KingR · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
KingR · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
baraban · 1 game
0%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
0%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
USHUSHUSH · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
506 picks · 436 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
480 picks · 701 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
451 picks · 296 bans
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
438 picks · 530 bans
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
383 picks · 614 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
376 picks · 605 bans
51%
Sand King
Sand King
371 picks · 532 bans
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
346 picks · 314 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 43%
Hero pool strength57% Hydra
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total81% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:23
Hydra 65%ФЕРЗИ 35%
The model gave 65% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 42:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernAskold
47% · 49 games38% · 4 games
ZeusUSHUSHUSH
Zeus
Dazzle
Dazzlekickeed
44% · 5 games63% · 21 game
Sand Kingbaraban
Sand King
45% · 29 games
LinaKingR
Lina
Game 2prediction correct
Hydra 81%ФЕРЗИ 19%
The model gave 81% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 81%
Series resultHydra 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2