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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydraloss 0:2
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 0:2
No Sorrywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hydra

Bane
Banesignature
Zayac · 29 games
72%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 29 games
79%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 24 games
50%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 24 games
54%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 24 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 18 games
67%
Chen
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
75%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Muka · 16 games
75%

No Sorry

Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 4 games
50%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 4 games
25%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 4 games
25%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
y0nd · 3 games
67%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Worick · 3 games
33%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Worick · 3 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
LastHero- · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
BLACKARXANGEL · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
434 picks · 269 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
387 picks · 496 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
353 picks · 496 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
347 picks · 491 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
285 picks · 478 bans
50%
Wraith King
Wraith King
251 picks · 336 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
247 picks · 357 bans
55%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
246 picks · 173 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 38%
Hero pool strength61% Hydra
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total84% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:19
Hydra 69%No Sorry 31%
The model gave 69% on Hydra — the game was taken by No Sorry in 28:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Huskar
HuskarKami
50% · 6 games54% · 126 games
TinyDinozavrik
Tiny
Pugna
PugnaAskold
42% · 25 games53% · 108 games
LinaWorick
Lina
Mars
MarsBlizzy
49% · 429 games54% · 88 games
BeastmasterLastHero-
Beastmaster
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanMuka
44% · 67 games56% · 143 games
BaneBLACKARXANGEL
Bane
Dazzle
DazzleZayac
50% · 19 games49% · 81 game
Clockwerky0nd
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed11:43
Hydra 68%No Sorry 32%
The model gave 68% on Hydra — the game was taken by No Sorry in 35:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenKami
50% · 33 games53% · 97 games
UrsaDinozavrik
Ursa
Mars
MarsBlizzy
48% · 316 games49% · 329 games
PuckWorick
Puck
Void Spirit
Void SpiritAskold
43% · 210 games60% · 66 games
SlardarLastHero-
Slardar
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanMuka
44% · 72 games56% · 171 game
Ioy0nd
Io
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernZayac
51% · 92 games46% · 60 games
UndyingBLACKARXANGEL
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 84%
Series resultNo Sorry 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2