Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Sorryloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 30 games
Banesignature
Zayac · 29 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 27 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 24 games
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 24 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 18 games
Invokersignature
Askold · 17 games
Chensignature
Zayac · 16 games
No Sorry
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 7 games
Hoodwink
y0nd · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 7 games
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 7 games
Tinyoften banned
Dinozavrik · 7 games
Invokeroften banned
Worick · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
LastHero- · 5 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
447 picks · 272 bans
Mars
375 picks · 519 bans
Queen of Pain
370 picks · 498 bans
Weaver
350 picks · 477 bans
Death Prophet
289 picks · 442 bans
Kunkka
283 picks · 502 bans
Grimstroke
265 picks · 184 bans
Ember Spirit
262 picks · 315 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 43%
Hero pool strength61% Hydra
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total75% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:17
Hydra 64%No Sorry 36%
The model gave 64% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 28:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
InvokerAskold
Templar AssassinWorick
HuskarKami
SniperDinozavrik
TinyBlizzy
MarsLastHero-
UndyingZayac
Phoenixy0nd
Skywrath MageMuka
BaneBLACKARXANGEL
Game 2prediction correct30:20
Hydra 65%No Sorry 35%
The model gave 65% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 28:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LunaKami
TinyDinozavrik
InvokerAskold
Ember SpiritWorick
Sand KingBlizzy
Legion CommanderLastHero-
Skywrath MageMuka
Hoodwinky0nd
UndyingZayac
SnapfireBLACKARXANGEL
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 75%
Series resultHydra 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2