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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydraloss 0:2
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:2
No Sorrywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Hydra

Bane
Banesignature
Zayac · 31 game
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Blizzy · 30 games
77%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Askold · 28 games
43%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Blizzy · 26 games
58%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Askold · 25 games
64%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Muka · 24 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Muka · 20 games
65%
Chen
Chensignature
Zayac · 19 games
68%

No Sorry

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
layme · 16 games
44%
Bane
Bane
BLACKARXANGEL · 15 games
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 15 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
y0nd · 15 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
LastHero- · 15 games
40%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
y0nd · 14 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
BLACKARXANGEL · 11 games
36%
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderoften banned
LastHero- · 9 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
434 picks · 275 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
423 picks · 568 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
384 picks · 448 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
347 picks · 723 bans
54%
Sand King
Sand King
323 picks · 442 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 466 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
283 picks · 424 bans
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
275 picks · 417 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 52%
Hero pool strength60% Hydra
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total69% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:30
Hydra 60%No Sorry 40%
The model gave 60% on Hydra — the game was taken by No Sorry in 29:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaAskold
53% · 244 games54% · 166 games
Tinylayme
Tiny
Razor
RazorKami
51% · 172 games50% · 137 games
Storm SpiritWorick
Storm Spirit
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanZayac
52% · 82 games47% · 87 games
AxeLastHero-
Axe
Abaddon
AbaddonMuka
48% · 147 games46% · 119 games
EnchantressBLACKARXANGEL
Enchantress
49% · 136 games
IoKaori
Io
Game 2prediction missed23:39
Hydra 61%No Sorry 39%
The model gave 61% on Hydra — the game was taken by No Sorry in 30:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinKami
53% · 213 games46% · 51 game
Juggernautlayme
Juggernaut
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritAskold
45% · 253 games50% · 223 games
Ember SpiritWorick
Ember Spirit
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanZayac
45% · 84 games63% · 80 games
BeastmasterLastHero-
Beastmaster
Pugna
PugnaMuka
46% · 74 games48% · 175 games
GrimstrokeKaori
Grimstroke
56% · 95 games
EnchantressBLACKARXANGEL
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 69%
Series resultNo Sorry 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2