CCT Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Hydrawin 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
V1dar Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Hydra
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DkFogas · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Dominic · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
Dominic · 1 game
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 1 game
Shadow Demonoften banned
xsvampire · 1 game
V1dar Gaming
Troll Warlordoften banned
dizzying · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Groom · 2 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
dizzying · 2 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Groom · 2 games
Tinyoften banned
Groom · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Difference · 1 game
Necrophosoften banned
Difference · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Difference · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
441 picks · 369 bans
Hoodwink
411 picks · 456 bans
Tiny
389 picks · 880 bans
Weaver
388 picks · 832 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 768 bans
Pangolier
363 picks · 522 bans
Clockwerk
339 picks · 508 bans
Ember Spirit
326 picks · 639 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 29%
Hero pool strength55% Hydra
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total74% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Hydra 74%V1dar Gaming 26%
The model gave 74% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra.
Game 2prediction correct
Hydra 74%V1dar Gaming 26%
The model gave 74% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 74%
Series resultHydra 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2