Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
iG Vitalityloss 1:1series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 1:1
TNC Predatorloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
iG Vitality
Linaoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
ukiyo · 5 games
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 5 games
Clinkz
ukiyo · 4 games
Iooften banned
Dogf1ghts · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
Slarkoften banned
ukiyo · 3 games
Windranger
ButterflyEffect · 3 games
TNC Predator
Phoenix
Boomy · 7 games
Dragon Knight
Bok · 6 games
Lionsignature
Tims · 6 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Bok · 5 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Gabbi · 5 games
Puckoften banned
Armel · 4 games
Spectreoften banned
Gabbi · 4 games
Grimstroke
Tims · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
372 picks · 543 bans
Bane
339 picks · 260 bans
Snapfire
336 picks · 207 bans
Weaver
320 picks · 715 bans
Monkey King
254 picks · 749 bans
Tidehunter
244 picks · 383 bans
Disruptor
238 picks · 153 bans
Io
235 picks · 557 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 25%
Hero pool strength51% TNC Predator
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total60% iG Vitality
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:40
iG Vitality 55%TNC Predator 45%
The model gave 55% on iG Vitality — the game was taken by TNC Predator in 46:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphlingukiyo
Queen of PainYoungGodLevi
RazorButterflyEffect
LinaYowe
SnapfireDogf1ghts
Spirit Breakerxiaoyu154
ClockwerkQYQX
Dark WillowPlayHard
51% · 62 games
UndyingFebby
Game 2prediction correct30:28
iG Vitality 55%TNC Predator 45%
The model gave 55% on iG Vitality — the game was taken by iG Vitality in 43:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LinaButterflyEffect
Troll WarlordYoungGodLevi
Lifestealerukiyo
InvokerYowe
RubickDogf1ghts
Marsxiaoyu154
Dark WillowQYQX
SnapfirePlayHard
55% · 80 games
Treant ProtectorFebby
Model check result
Model favoriteiG Vitality · 60%
Accuracy by game1 of 2