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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
IHC Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Geek Famwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

IHC Esports

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
ace12 · 7 games
43%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritsignature
Se · 7 games
86%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
eleven · 5 games
100%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirenoften banned
423 · 5 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Sancity · 5 games
80%
Silencer
Silencer
Se · 5 games
0%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Se · 4 games
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
ace12 · 4 games
25%

Geek Fam

Rubick
Rubicksignature
NARMAN · 8 games
88%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jing · 7 games
71%
Sven
Svensignature
Ulnit · 6 games
67%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
NARMAN · 6 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
Skem · 6 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Skem · 5 games
60%
Wraith King
Wraith King
Natsumi · 5 games
60%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
260 picks · 441 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
239 picks · 372 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
225 picks · 296 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
212 picks · 99 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
211 picks · 198 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
190 picks · 360 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
186 picks · 519 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 71%
Hero pool strength53% Geek Fam
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total65% Geek Fam
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:26
IHC Esports 42%Geek Fam 58%
The model gave 58% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 41:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
Alchemist423
54% · 38 games45% · 40 games
LifestealerNatsumi
Lifestealer
Lina
LinaSancity
59% · 49 games46% · 63 games
MarsMac
Mars
Dark Seer
Dark Seereleven
48% · 56 games55% · 17 games
JakiroSkem
Jakiro
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinace12
50% · 4 games51% · 104 games
Dark WillowJing
Dark Willow
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritSe
46% · 77 games
Game 2prediction correct1:5
IHC Esports 35%Geek Fam 65%
The model gave 65% on Geek Fam — the game was taken by Geek Fam in 8:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteGeek Fam · 65%
Series resultGeek Fam 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2