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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
IHC Esportswin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Toughloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

IHC Esports

Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
ace12 · 4 games
25%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Sancity · 4 games
75%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Se · 3 games
0%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
423 · 3 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
ace12 · 3 games
33%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
eleven · 3 games
0%
Silencer
Silencer
Se · 3 games
0%
Wraith King
Wraith King
423 · 3 games
33%

Team Tough

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Hishge · 1 game
100%
Techies
Techies
Hishge · 1 game
0%
Tiny
Tiny
Hishge · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
249 picks · 422 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
214 picks · 331 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
198 picks · 184 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
196 picks · 268 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
196 picks · 97 bans
54%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
187 picks · 358 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
177 picks · 507 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% Team Tough
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total64% IHC Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:7
IHC Esports 56%Team Tough 44%
The model gave 56% on IHC Esports — the game was taken by IHC Esports in 24:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealer423
42% · 8 games54% · 108 games
PugnaHishge
Pugna
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnereleven
33% · 29 games
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSancity
53% · 11 games
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonace12
46% · 46 games
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritSe
56% · 14 games
Game 2prediction correct39:23
IHC Esports 58%Team Tough 42%
The model gave 58% on IHC Esports — the game was taken by IHC Esports in 47:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphling423
53% · 66 games50% · 245 games
BatriderHishge
Batrider
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSancity
47% · 116 games
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnereleven
59% · 18 games
Dark Willow
Dark Willowace12
54% · 22 games
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritSe
37% · 23 games
Model check result
Model favoriteIHC Esports · 64%
Series resultIHC Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2