Road To Asian Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Индияloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Непалwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Индия
No games played over 6 months.
Непал
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
650 picks · 694 bans
Rubick
542 picks · 368 bans
Doom
511 picks · 1048 bans
Ember Spirit
426 picks · 912 bans
Beastmaster
411 picks · 1082 bans
Batrider
410 picks · 1013 bans
Void Spirit
392 picks · 353 bans
Enchantress
385 picks · 659 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Индия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Индия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Индия 52%Непал 48%
The model gave 52% on Индия — the game was taken by Непал.
Game 2prediction missed
Индия 52%Непал 48%
The model gave 52% on Индия — the game was taken by Непал.
Model check result
Model favoriteИндия · 52%
Series resultНепал 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2