BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 0:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
5RATFORCESTAFFwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Oscar · 11 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Mariano · 8 games
Bane
Prada · 6 games
Crystal Maiden
Mjz · 5 games
Hoodwink
Genek · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Mariano · 5 games
Windranger
sl4d1n- · 5 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 4 games
5RATFORCESTAFF
Jakirosignature
albinozebra · 28 games
Faceless Voidsignature
dnm · 12 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Speeed · 11 games
Crystal Maiden
albinozebra · 10 games
Tiny
Giant · 10 games
Naga Sirensignature
dnm · 8 games
Clockwerk
albinozebra · 7 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
dnm · 7 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
376 picks · 601 bans
Tiny
322 picks · 211 bans
Undying
313 picks · 554 bans
Primal Beast
253 picks · 482 bans
Pangolier
242 picks · 368 bans
Tusk
225 picks · 135 bans
Shadow Fiend
215 picks · 270 bans
Enigma
212 picks · 730 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% 5RATFORCESTAFF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct13:26
Infamous 50%5RATFORCESTAFF 50%
The model gave 50% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 30:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SvenMnz
BroodmotherSpeeed
DawnbreakerOscar
Wraith Kingdnm
Miranasl4d1n-
ClockwerkMoOz
DisruptorMjz
Crystal Maidenalbinozebra
Game 2prediction correct16:34
Infamous 46%5RATFORCESTAFF 54%
The model gave 54% on 5RATFORCESTAFF — the game was taken by 5RATFORCESTAFF in 36:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
AlchemistMnz
Lifestealerdnm
DoomOscar
BeastmasterSpeeed
Windrangersl4d1n-
HoodwinkMoOz
EnchantressMjz
Jakiroalbinozebra
Model check result
Model favorite5RATFORCESTAFF · 55%
Series result5RATFORCESTAFF 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2