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BTS Pro Series Season 5. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
bumble bEE'sloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Tusk
Tusksignature
Pamplona · 8 games
75%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
ILICH- · 6 games
83%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ILICH- · 6 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Yor · 5 games
60%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Yor · 5 games
80%
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordoften banned
Arms · 5 games
80%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 5 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Pamplona · 4 games
75%

bumble bEE's

Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
Fear · 5 games
40%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
ppd · 5 games
60%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Sneyking · 4 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
Sneyking · 4 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Moo · 4 games
75%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Moo · 3 games
33%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Moo · 3 games
33%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
ppd · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
348 picks · 724 bans
51%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
327 picks · 424 bans
56%
Mars
Mars
277 picks · 492 bans
50%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
257 picks · 217 bans
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
238 picks · 359 bans
57%
Rubick
Rubick
231 picks · 129 bans
51%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Light
219 picks · 455 bans
57%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
216 picks · 664 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% bumble bEE's
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:28
Infamous 50%bumble bEE's 50%
The model gave 50% on bumble bEE's — the game was taken by bumble bEE's in 1:02:29.
Game 2prediction correct16:39
Infamous 50%bumble bEE's 50%
The model gave 50% on bumble bEE's — the game was taken by bumble bEE's in 35:25.
Model check result
Model favoritebumble bEE's · 50%
Accuracy by game2 of 2