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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:1
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Infinity Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Lumière · 8 games
63%
Mars
Marssignature
Sacred · 7 games
86%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Michael · 6 games
50%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Michael · 6 games
83%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Pamplona · 5 games
80%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Prada · 4 games
100%
Silencer
Silencer
Accel · 4 games
100%
Tusk
Tusk
Pamplona · 4 games
100%

Infinity Esports

Invoker
Invokeroften banned
mini-` · 10 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Jupiter · 10 games
40%
Mars
Marssignature
Valquiria · 9 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Jupiter · 8 games
13%
Lion
Lion
Jupiter · 6 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
mini-` · 6 games
50%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
Nuages · 6 games
67%
Bane
Bane
Nuages · 5 games
40%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
443 picks · 287 bans
55%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
402 picks · 508 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
360 picks · 527 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 495 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
287 picks · 475 bans
51%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
257 picks · 480 bans
51%
Wraith King
Wraith King
250 picks · 339 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
247 picks · 103 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 71%
Hero pool strength62% Infamous
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total65% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:23
Infamous 65%Infinity Esports 35%
The model gave 65% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 38:27.
Game 2prediction correct32:6
Infamous 65%Infinity Esports 35%
The model gave 65% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 32:22.
Game 3prediction missed20:46
Infamous 65%Infinity Esports 35%
The model gave 65% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 35:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 65%
Series resultInfamous 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 3