Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
King Of Kingsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Miranasignature
Michael · 7 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Parker · 6 games
Marssignature
Mariano · 6 games
Bane
Prada · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
Snapfire
Pamplona · 5 games
Tinyoften banned
Rises · 5 games
Tusk
Pamplona · 5 games
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
440 picks · 265 bans
Mars
404 picks · 557 bans
Tiny
351 picks · 411 bans
Death Prophet
335 picks · 670 bans
Ember Spirit
298 picks · 438 bans
Sand King
295 picks · 384 bans
Weaver
278 picks · 332 bans
Pangolier
259 picks · 382 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 18%
Hero pool strength61% Infamous
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total76% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 76%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect