The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
laparedloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Beastmasteroften banned
Hermit · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
S1RENM · 8 games
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
Queen of Painoften banned
S1RENM · 6 games
Tinyoften banned
S1RENM · 6 games
Ursaoften banned
DM · 6 games
Clockwerk
JimmyCoff666 · 5 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 5 games
lapared
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
476 picks · 452 bans
Tiny
461 picks · 534 bans
Ringmaster
439 picks · 216 bans
Terrorblade
343 picks · 632 bans
Storm Spirit
302 picks · 439 bans
Ancient Apparition
293 picks · 642 bans
Tusk
286 picks · 212 bans
Windranger
279 picks · 79 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength52% lapared
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% lapared
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:48
Infamous 49%lapared 51%
The model gave 51% on lapared — the game was taken by Infamous in 27:45.
Game 2prediction missed45:26
Infamous 49%lapared 51%
The model gave 51% on lapared — the game was taken by Infamous in 34:03.
Model check result
Model favoritelapared · 51%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2