PGL Wallachia Season 2. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Legacywin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Lifestealeroften banned
CarJua · 1 game
Linaoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Puckoften banned
S1RENM · 1 game
Sven
CarJua · 1 game
Legacy
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
406 picks · 443 bans
Rubick
404 picks · 337 bans
Weaver
383 picks · 821 bans
Tiny
377 picks · 880 bans
Phoenix
357 picks · 724 bans
Pangolier
333 picks · 512 bans
Clockwerk
326 picks · 491 bans
Dark Seer
293 picks · 669 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 40%
Hero pool strength56% Legacy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:20
Infamous 51%Legacy 49%
The model gave 51% on Infamous — the game was taken by Legacy in 43:39.
Game 2prediction missed10:35
Infamous 51%Legacy 49%
The model gave 51% on Infamous — the game was taken by Legacy in 25:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 51%
Series resultLegacy 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2