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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:1
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:1
NoPing VPNloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lumière · 9 games
56%
Mars
Marssignature
Sacred · 7 games
86%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 6 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 6 games
67%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Michael · 6 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
PiPi · 6 games
33%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
80%
Mirana
Mirana
Michael · 5 games
80%

NoPing VPN

Tiny
Tinysignature
DarkMago · 20 games
85%
Mars
Marssignature
Oscar · 18 games
72%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Michael · 18 games
61%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Panda · 16 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Pakazs · 14 games
79%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Pakazs · 14 games
43%
Lion
Lionsignature
Matthew · 13 games
62%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Oscar · 11 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
338 picks · 492 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
297 picks · 168 bans
47%
Bane
Bane
288 picks · 224 bans
58%
Weaver
Weaver
276 picks · 619 bans
57%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
255 picks · 385 bans
46%
Monkey King
Monkey King
248 picks · 722 bans
59%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
222 picks · 302 bans
57%
Disruptor
Disruptor
217 picks · 137 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 65%
Hero pool strength50% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head0 – 5
Model total66% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed38:11
Infamous 66%NoPing VPN 34%
The model gave 66% on Infamous — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 32:41.
Game 2prediction missed18:5
Infamous 66%NoPing VPN 34%
The model gave 66% on Infamous — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 24:05.
Game 3prediction missed15:13
Infamous 66%NoPing VPN 34%
The model gave 66% on Infamous — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 32:48.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 66%
Series resultInfamous 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3